Coco Gauff faces a closer Mertens test
Coco Gauff is favored over Elise Mertens, but the model sees a closer Beijing match than the market consensus does.
Court Shark News
Match analysis
Previews before play and the story of each result, read against the Court Shark model.
Coco Gauff's form overcomes Xinran Sun in Beijing
Coco Gauff's 7-5 6-1 win over Xinran Sun matched the model, though Sun's form made the first set competitive.
Nikola Bartunkova Holds Hard Court Edge in Beijing
Nikola Bartunkova's stronger hard court history gives her the edge over Sinja Kraus in Beijing.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka, Tokyo final
Carlos Alcaraz holds the stronger model probability against Jiri Lehecka in the Tokyo final.
Hugo Gaston Falls to Liam Draxl in Shanghai
Liam Draxl beat Hugo Gaston in straight sets at the Rolex Shanghai Masters despite Gaston's stronger pre-match model probability.
Djokovic vs Medvedev at the China Open
Djokovic's hard-court history against Medvedev keeps the China Open semifinal closer than the market consensus suggests.
Alcaraz vs Munar Japan Open Surface History
Carlos Alcaraz's hard-court record and head-to-head lead frame his Japan Open semifinal with Jaume Munar.
Nikola Bartunkova shocks Aryna Sabalenka in Beijing
Nikola Bartunkova beat Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-3 in Beijing despite a pre-match model edge for Sabalenka.
Carlos Alcaraz and the Japan Open Model Gap
Carlos Alcaraz is favored over Denis Shapovalov, but the model sees a more competitive Japan Open quarterfinal.
Alexander Zverev leads China Open market move
Alexander Zverev has attracted a strong market move before his China Open quarterfinal against Novak Djokovic.
Aryna Sabalenka Controls Beijing Opener
Aryna Sabalenka's straight-sets Beijing win over Renata Zarazua aligned with a 91% model probability.
Daniil Medvedev vs Struff Model Gap
Daniil Medvedev is favored over Jan Lennard Struff, but the model sees a narrower gap than the market consensus.