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Aryna Sabalenka loses ground in China Open race

Aryna Sabalenka could not capitalize on Elena Rybakina's early China Open defeat and lost ground in the ranking race.

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Rybakina's opening creates an opportunity

Elena Rybakina was beaten in her first match in Beijing, opening the door for Aryna Sabalenka to trim the gap at the top of the rankings. Alina Charaeva recovered from a 6-3 opening set loss and took the next two sets to eliminate the top player.

It was a striking result. Charaeva is ranked No. 118 and has a 6-4 record across her last ten completed matches, while Rybakina arrived after taking over the top ranking following her US Open title. The defeat removed Rybakina from an event where Sabalenka needed a deep run to make up meaningful ground.

Sabalenka cannot take advantage

Sabalenka began strongly, beating Renata Zarazua in straight sets before the tournament shifted quickly. Zarazua is ranked No. 94 and has won 2 of her last ten completed matches, making Sabalenka's opening win a controlled start rather than a warning of trouble.

Bartunkova then defeated Sabalenka 4-6, 3-6 in the third round. The Czech stayed composed. Afterward, Bartunkova said, “I focused on myself, to be calm.” Sabalenka is No. 2 and has an 8-2 record in her last ten completed matches, so this exit stands apart from her broader recent results.

The ranking gap grows

Rybakina started the China Open on 9,901 points, holding a 2,091-point lead over Sabalenka. Her early departure cost her ground, yet Sabalenka needed to keep winning to turn that opening into a meaningful change in the standings.

Rybakina now sits on 9,696 points after dropping 205 from her previous result. The margin was there. Sabalenka had begun the event with a route to reduce the deficit, but her own loss means the leader's setback did not alter the order at the top.

Final weeks remain

Sabalenka leaves Beijing with 7,485 points after losing 325 from her result at the event in 2025. She is farther behind than she was at the start, despite Rybakina's loss before the later rounds.

The season race also favors Rybakina, who has 7,502 points to Sabalenka's 6,550. There is still tennis left. Rybakina remains in front in both measures, while Sabalenka's task in the closing stretch is now larger than it was entering Beijing.

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